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Sunday, January 3, 2010

Top Four Sell High Candidates

Sell High candidates are going to be much tougher for me to parse through quantitatively. Mainly because you're going to see guys like Jrue Holiday popping up there, who got a few games to start this year but will likely be no more than a 10 minute per game contributor for the rest of the season. Sure I'd love to sell him high, but who's buying?! Anyways, so I was able to pull out four solid guys that had big scores on the Sell High list. Take a look (scores of -2 or lower):




1. Brandon Jennings
Score: -2.59
There's so many reason why this is a good call. He just doesn't have the same pedigree as other top rookies, he wasn't expected to be as good as he's played, guys like Redd and Bogut are contributing more consistently now, and most importantly, that Rookie Wall is right around the corner.

2. Ersan Ilyasova
Score: -2.07
Boy I been sounding the bell on this guy for much of the season. Talk about unexpected, Ersan was an early season Waiver Wire hero that one too many just fell in love with. Fact is, his role stands to diminish and he's wildly inconsistent. If you're the guy left holding a big bag of Ersan at the end of the season, chances are you ain't winning the league.

OK, now the field is a bit thin, but I stretched over the line a bit for the next two because I think they are important to point out....

3. Big Ben Wallace
Score: -1.82
Ben's had a great season, I hear ya. But look, he's 35 years old. For a guy that size, that's pretty old. Moreover he's averaging the most Rebounds per game in the last four years. Finally, even when he was good, injuries tended to pop up once a season. Now that he's 35 and crashing the boards as hard as he is, you can expect a second half fall off for sure.

4. Trevor Ariza
Score: 1.73
Who are you Trevor Ariza? You've been in the league for eight years now. You were a second round pick out of UCLA, not highly touted. You had an OK season last year, yet somehow the Hype artists out there had us buying you as the next Tracy McGrady. Those steals sure are nice, and your overall stat line has so much potential, but 66% from the charity stripe? Something doesn't smell right about you bro, best to cash in while the price is right.

As usual fella's I'll be around all day putting the finishing touches on the Calc. This post, when sent via FEED will have the new password at the bottom of it. I'm also going to start working on Fantasy Baseball 2010 rankings and sauce. By the way, hope you like the new layout.

Hit me up with any questions!

63 comments:

vlado9 said...

ok i just got offered Dwight howard, Ellis, Green and Courtney lee. for Tyreke, G.wallace,Harris and tyrus thomas. should i ink it?

Dipset said...

o and marice morris vs. bears

Dipset said...

start witch 2?

aromashadu vs lions
moss vs texans
grant vs cards

lanciple said...

I just offered Casspi and TJ Ford for PPierce. Think it'll work? Like you said, high risk, high reward.

Thief said...

Vlad, go on playa, ink it yo

Mamba, moss and grant. I know moss might sit, but I'll bet he scores first.

Lanc, that's straight thievin playa.

Dipset said...

trade my brook lopez and scola
for amare and kevin love

pull it?

Ismael said...

Hi Thief, I'm thinking into giving Calderon and Okur for Al Jefferson and take a FA like SammyD or Redd. Is it sound?

Tao said...

Thief Thief Thief. Barbosa is on waiver, should I pick him up? Still a worthy player? If so, who should I give up?

Courney Lee
Chris Duhon
CDR?

And how much does Trevor Ariza worth now? Any suggestion?

Pouch25 said...

How about trading Ersan+Stuckey to get me OJ Mayo.

Tao said...

Ok Ok, can't stop, I am too many questions. There are some other Players on FA and Waiver, and this is a 10-player league. Thief, do you see any clear pick up?

Anothany Morrow
O Cassipi
Barbosa
Spencer Hawes

My team

LBJ
D Will
D Harris
Vince Carter
Al Harrington
Bargnani
ROy Hibbert
Courney Lee
CDR
Trevor Ariza
Stephen Curry
Maggette
Chris Duhon

Thank you. I really need to pick up some good players to compensate my aweful trades made.

lanciple said...

Cat didn't bite the bait cause they just annouced Pierce's return. He wants a 1 for one, but I'm thinking 2 for 2. My Casspi & Biedrins or C.Anderson for his Pierce & A.Miller. Thoughts?

acsparks714 said...

hey thief just a suggestion so that people wont get confused anymore, I think you should change where it says "Subscribe to Receive Posts via Email" to "Subscribe to Receive Posts via FEED", just to clear up any confusion. Just a suggestion, hope I helped!!

yizzle24 said...

what kind of a player should i expect to get in return for a player like Ersan? cuz most ppl still see him as a wavier wire guy.

and what do you think of this:
West for Noah and Stuckey?

Pouch25 said...

Ersan is a difficult player to trade. Any recommendations to tempt our competition to buy in? I'm trying to deal Ersan and Stucky for Terry. Thanks Thief! Nice to see more followers every day on your blog.

Thief said...

Mamba, PULL THE TRIGGER!!!

Thief said...

Ismael, I like it, go for Redd and immediately try to move him.

Tao, drop CDR add Barbosa

Pouch, I love it

Lanc....if he'll do it!

AC, LOVE THE FEEDBACK!! Thanks, DONE

Yizzie, see pouch above

Pouch, the 2-2's you're offering are perfect. WE know he's a WW guy, but if we can get someone to take him as juice in a 2-2, then we're golden.

Yeah lots of new people lately, I'm happy. Wait til baseball!

Qwan said...

What's up Thief,

I have another question about a trade that I have been offered. My Aldridge for his Brandon Jennings straight up. Now I'm not fascinated by this offer because its not definite steal.

However, KG just went down for this guy and he figures he can cash in with Aldridge by eyeing my weaknesses in Asts & stls.

My Sauce:
15.83pts
5.40 rebs
3.06 asts
.900 stls
1.09 3pts
.60 blks

My starters:
Dirk
Joe Johnson
Frye
Aldridge
Brook Lopez
Mayo
Tony Parker
Thompson
Gallinari
Nelson
Ariza

Bench:
Bibby
Varejao
Hibbert

His team:
Jennings
KG
K Love
Hawes
VC
Dunleavy
Marion
Taj Gibson
Durant
Perkins
Monta Ellis
Ray Allen
Casspi

10-man H2H regular cats(including 3pt%,FTM,FT%,orebs, drebs,TO, Fouls,)

Should I really ink this deal or try to include KG or shoot for his Monta Ellis for Aldridge? I'm really gotta thieve on this offer here.

Thanks again for the advice!

LuCkY_3 said...

im up .5 FG%, .6 FT%, 10 treys, 50 pts, 22 reb, 60 ast, 8 stls, and 1 TO. he has gallo, nene, artest, and melo today. artest isnt guna play but idk bout melo, shud i start my guys or bench them so i win 8-1 instead of 7-2 in TOs.

i have iggy, felton, murphy, bargnani, and speights. what shud i do?

Thief said...

Qwan, you read my mind, ask for Ellis

Lucky, start iggy, felton murphy and bargs

Eric said...

just traded (my) bargnani for (his) pierce

good trade?

TIMAAY said...

yo thief, what's the value of yi jianlian

Thief said...

Eric, nice grab.

Timaaaaaaay! What up playa. I like Yi, but he's VERY fragile. As his value rises, look to deal him off fo sho.

Adam H said...

What do you think about K.Love for Pierce?

Thief said...

ooooh, Adam that ain't thievin bro, you can do better than that!

LuCkY_3 said...

dwight howard for love and speights, battier, or juwan howard. we'll see wat he says. then i pick up barnes. good trade?

Thief said...

hells yes it is!

y4rivera said...

What's up Thief? I'm down in Puerto Rico. I heard yall got like 6 inches. I'm glad I missed it. I just traded horford, iverson, and marion for dirk and andre miller. How did I do?

Tao said...

Thief, thanks for your advices! Errr, one more question, Mike Miller, O Cassipi and Rip. Are they good? Better than

LBJ
D Will
D Harris
Vince Carter
Al Harrington
Bargnani
ROy Hibbert
Courney Lee
Barbosa
Trevor Ariza
Stephen Curry
Maggette
Chris Duhon

jawn said...

sup thief... i've downloaded the 1st ss calc. but having trouble trying to access the new one with updates? i'll keep trying anyway...

BUT just read up on the new post here... and happens i been trying to find reason to shift on ARIZA, not too convinced myself... does this look semi-fair? i'm set for BIGs but wanting to bank MARTIN and hopefully either keep WEST or trade him off... i also have MAYO/RIP/M.GASOL or GINO i think i can work with here to play off in this trade... im hoping for a 2-2, but if you can see a 2-1 working i can try work it...

its a tiiight 8 team league with me currently in 1st, but don't think my team can hold it for 2nd spell... after this trade i'm going for CP3, hoping to part GW along with someone else...

ARIZA/GREEN for DAVID WEST/KEVIN MARTIN


LOL sorry for the long winded post...

**

Dipset said...

trade my josh smith and j rich
for stoudemire and stephen jackson

he may not do this, but he is lookin to get josh smith and willin to give up amare.

if he dont do this, anymore suggestions?

here is his team, and my team

his:
b roy stuckey
stpehen jackson
lou willaims
tyreke
hedo
crawford
beasly
love
stoudemire
villenuava
thaddeus
ersan illysova


my team:
chris paul, devin harris. calderon, nate rob
jason richardson, oj mayo
rudy gay josh smith rashard lewis
brook lopez andrea barnagni joakim noah luis scola

sauce:

threes .91
points 15.67
bounds 5.97
dimes 3.62
steals 1.09
blocks .8

acsparks714 said...

i'm proposing this trade

my

devin harris+lou williams

=

his

jose calderon+stephen jackson

my team

paul,chris
bryant,kobe
pierce,paul
duncan,tim
howard,dwight
williams,lou
aldridge,lamarcus
howard,josh
dampier,erick
andersen,chris
dalembert,samuel
martin,kevin
harris,devin
billups,chauncey
kirilenko,andrei

his team

westbrook,russell
jackson,stephen
durant,kevin
jefferson,richard
millsap,paul
boozer,carlos
noah,joakim
bosh,chris
kidd,jason
biedrins,andris
hamilton,richard
scola,luis
crawford,jamal
calderon,jose
gay,rudy

if he doesnt accept what should i offer him?

I am low in threes & assists.

He is low in points, steals, threes, and blocks.

Thief said...

Y4, snow wasn't so bad, but damn wish I was in PR. NICE SCORE ON THE TRADE BRO, straight thievin!

Tao, I'd have Mike Miller over Maggette

Mamba, he'd be stupid not to take it, you're practically giving away J Rich, man you guys bail on a balla fast!

AC, toss in Chris Anderson, see if that inks it, I like your move there

Mark said...

Hey Thief! love the new changes!

It's the first time I've been offered a deal and i love it! my jermaine o'neal and mareesse speights for his mo williams

Good for me, no? especially since i dont need boards and i need pts, assists, steals

Dipset said...

o well i would be getin stephen jackson. you dont like him? i need scoring, and he scores much more the j rich. i feel like the only thing that makes j rich really valuable is his field goal %m witch is a cat amare soars in. what should i offer?

J. said...

Hey Thief. Quick question.

In the calculater I'm not asked to include what type of league (roto,h2h,etc) or the size of my league. Is there an updated calculater? Sorry to derail to the post.

philv said...

Thief!!!

What can I expect to get in return for Ariza, also, any chance your new calc is comming out tonight?!?!?!

Thief said...

Mark, that's a Thief of the Month trade right there. WOW, I feel like you should MOON the guy after it's done! NICE THIEVIN

J., the new calc will be released tomorrow. You'll be asked to input league size, the rest (team size) is automatically figured in. IT IS SO LEGIT! MY BEST WORK EVER!

Philv, LOL I totally would love to drop it off tonight but I have one last bug to fix and I'll have to fix it tomorrow. Just a format issue between XL 03 and XL 07. Don't worry, it's worth the wait! As for Ariza, couple guys off the top of my head are Rose, Bibby, Harrington, or even Westbrook

kael1n said...

Yo thief, deep league, which side do you prefer:

James + Haslem or Durant + Okafor?

Chuck said...

Yo thief I get the password and want to check out the spreadsheet, but can not get it for some reason. So, If you do not mind look over my team and see where i could make a move.
12 teams h2h standard cats
Westbrook
Conley
Joe Johnson
Iggy
Jrich (Dude is killing me)
Peja "lost his stroke" Stoakavic
Tyrus Thomas
Yi Jing-a-ling
David West
Emeka
Camby
Dwight Howard
Team is very well balanced, but have been trying to work a 2 for 1 with conley and West for a Better PG, and pick up Blake Griffin. No one is biting . Whats your thoughts? make a move or sit

Thanks for everything

Homegrown said...

Hey Thief - i offered Kidd+Salmons for JJ+Nene. His reply was "Kidd is done. If I am giving up JJ, I want someone I can keep long-term. Perhaps a trade including Rondo, and someone who can replace the 3pt shooting I will lose." My question again would be if I can swap Rondo for JJ in a keepers league should I? My keepers last year were Wade+Kidd+Bargnani and this year look to be Wade+Rondo+Bargnani. If I can talk him into a Rondo for JJ should I consider? or hold on to Rondo and try to maybe even make an offer of Rondo+Marion (or Beasley) for a Brandon Roy! Whats your thoughts? My goal is to get a higher scorer and a player that gives me 5+assists in return. Roto, KEEP 3 players at the end. 13GMs. 12 cats (FGM, FG%, FTM, FT%, 3PTM, 3PT%, PTS, REB, AST, BLK, ST, TO)

Thief said...

Kael, def LBJ

Chuck, we needs to get you squared up so we can see the sauce. Why you having trouble? Did you try a different Web Browser? that can help.

EVERYONE - THE NEW SPREADSHEET WILL BE AVAILABLE TOMORROW (MONDAY) EARLY EVENING. I WILL ANNOUNCE TO EVERYONE WHEN IT IS UP. PLEASE GO TO BED TONIGHT AND DREAM ABOUT IT'S AWESOMENESS CAUSE THAT'S WHAT I BEEN DOIN! :)

Thief said...

HomeG, can we move Kidd over for B Roy?

Homegrown said...

Tried that last year thief and he isn't buying it - I can try and move Kidd for someone like Iggy! Cause its a keeper league where we keep 3, Kidd's value isn't looked at as so highly. Also cause our league settings favor scorers a bit more people aren't appreciating Kidd's true value (as the highest PG in steals+assists+threes totals, higher then any other PG in the league but all they see is 9ppg). I do need help in scoring though so I would like to move Kidd or Rondo for a solid scorer that can give me 5+ assists back. Maybe I can try Kidd for Kevin Martin but I feel like I'm giving up a bit much for that.

jawn said...

...yo thief, didn't get a reply on my post back there ...was it not good enough?! LOL
anyway, let me know what you think when you get back online. i got 1.2 ss, so algud now.

i have another question though...
i banked that trade aquiring CP3, so quite stoked selling off JAMEER & DURANT (who i am loving the past 2 seasons, but eh) ...so hopefully that should help me move up from 7th abit. ALSO i went for TYRUS on the wire instead of BARBOSA who is still available...

ok so now i'm looking to make another move, wanting from the same team KG & KEVIN MARTIN... what do you think and who do you think should be in that package deal... worth it, not worth it?
my thoughts BARON/MAYO - KG/MARTIN

CURRENT FULL SQUAD:
paul,chris
evans,tyreke
wallace,gerald
jefferson,al
aldridge,lamarcu
davis,baron
okafor,emeka
brooks,aaron
thomas,tyrus
mayo,o.j.
iverson,allen
randolph,anthony
frye,channing

DA SAUCE:
PPG - 16.6 [red]
RPG - 6.5
APG - 3.8
SPG - 1.12
TOs - 0.666667
3PG - 1.07 [red]
BPG - 0.79

**

AK said...

Thief,
Can u rank the order I should attempt to pick up off waivers?
Mike Miller, Nate Robinson, Roy Hibbert, Andre Miller, or Erick Dampier.

Thanks.

doinkermit said...

hey thief biedrins is on waivers im considering dropping morrow for him as morrow is my worst player but my team is a little weak in both threes and rebounds, should I use my waiver to add biedrins for the rebound boost? or hold morrow for three pointers? (peja is also on the wire but i dont have anyone really to drop for his threes)

Tao said...

Can I offer Vince Carter and Correy Maggette for Caron Butler? Would that be too sweet?

His team:

Chauncey Billups
Dwyane Wade
Jason Kidd
Josh Howard
David Lee
Caron Butler
Luis Scola
Joakim Noah
Andrei Kirilenko
Andris Biedrins
Blake Griffin
Kevin Martin
Nate Robinson

My team:

LBJ
D Will
D Harris
Vince Carter
Al Harrington
Bargnani
ROy Hibbert
Courney Lee
Barbosa
Trevor Ariza
Stephen Curry
Maggette
Chris Duhon

Since you think Mike Miller is better than Corey Maggette, I think I should 2-1 cash in Maggette. He is on fire.

Thief said...

HomeG, just rather see u get to keep Rondo. What do u think bout Martin, could you ink a 2-2 and make it worthwhile? If all this won't do, Rondo for Joe J is a fine deal, just the keeper value ya know?

AK, Mike Miller, Erick Dampier, Roy Hibbert, Andre Miller, Nate Robinson

Jawn, lol sorry i missed ya. Nice inkage on CP3 bro. I think you're on the right track with the KG deal, but you should add Tyrus Thomas to it and then grab Barbosa off the WW to help with the 3's.

Kermit, grab Biedrins, hold him for two weeks, then you'll deal him off for a nice profit.

Too much, try either D Wade orrrrrr Caron AND Kev Martin!

Homegrown said...

Thief - I'll try and send Kidd+Marion for KevMartin+Hedo

Campos said...

Hey thief,

got offered Paul Pierce and Bynum for Jennings and Kevin Love.

should i pull the trigger? I guess more importantly for my team is all i really need from jennings is his 3pts, and asts, and all i need is loves rebs, and 3pt help it's a head to head league and i lose points every week but i win asts, steal and blks every week and 90 percent of the time i win rebs and blks,,, im in first place should i mess with a good thing?

Thief said...

HomeG, now THAT I can get behind.

Campos, ask for more than bynum.

vlado9 said...

Is this a good trade CP3 for Kobe and Aaron brooks?

jawn said...

no worries on the post mah man... anywho, i've added TYRUS into the mix so hopefully i can bank that one!?

NOW this one boggles me, since getting this calc. i've been trying to work on each team properly that i'm currently running (4)... k, so i'm currently chucking in the stats etc, now my sauce comes up pretty much suggesting i've got a sweet team. i've made a few moves only via the wire aswell, are you able to help me out on this one? currently, and i think for the last 10 weeks i have been ranked 4th in my league. so wanting to know what i need to move up the the ladder? ? sauce shows this team in neutral numbers...

CURRENT SQUAD:
rondo,rajon
wade,dwyane
marion,shawn
camby,marcus
duncan,tim
martin,kevin
murphy,troy
crawford,jamal
hamilton,richard
artest,ron
wallace,ben
maggette,corey
barbosa,leandro


DA SAUCE:
PPG - 15.87
RPG - 6.52
APG - 3.49
SPG - 1.22
TOs - 0.545576
3PG - 0.93
BPG - 0.71

**

jawn said...

thought i'd add da sauce for 1st placed team aswell. i have taken injuries etc into place as a reason for results, but will i need anything to bolster my team to reach that top rung? ?

1st TEAM SQUAD:
williams,mo
bryant,kobe
lewis,rashard
thompson,jason
howard,dwight
allen,ray
redd,michael
jennings,brandon
frye,channing
kaman,chris
conley,mike
curry,stephen
griffin,blake


DA SAUCE:
PPG - 15.70
RPG - 5.42 [red]
APG - 2.99 [red]
SPG - 1.04
TOs - 0.478847 [red]
3PG - 1.22
BPG - 0.63

**

J. said...

Hey Thief.

What do you think about dropping Charlie V for Felton or Anthony Randolph? I understand the 2-4 route is favourable but it's just not going to happen with Charlie V. I hate to cut bait early but I can always grab him back up if he get's hot. I'm 90% sure he will sit on the waiver. My problem is deciding which route to take on the addition. Either a PG or Big.

A few other notables on the waiver wire are Bibby, Barbosa, Conley and Andre Miller.

Thanks again Thief.

Starting lineup:
PG/SG: D.Williams-Wade
G: Rondo
SF/PF: G.Wallace-Brand
F: C.Butler
C: B.Lopez-Al Jefferson
UTIL: B.Gordon-J.Richardson

Bench- Lou Will-Kevin Garnett-Charlie Villanueva

CURRENT TEAM SAUCE:(Starting lineup) PTS:17.95 REB:6.44 AST:4.03 STLS:1.29 3PTS:0.70 BLKS:0.78

dw said...

Hey Thief,

I'm trying to come up with a steal deal that could net me Amare but I don't know what kind of offer to make that he can't refuse..

I wanna see if I can get him w/o giving up Big Al, whom I just got. The owner needs boards and blocks, and I just pased him in 3PTM since Pierce went down and Harry slumped. I was thinking about throwing Bargnani at him along with another big.

Will I be set back in 3s and BLKs if this trade goes thru? Players still on my waivers I was looking to pick up for boards or 3PT: Griffin (I'm hoping he'll be the double-double guy you envision), Salmons, Nelson, you can imagine how many more!

PG: D-Will, Rondo, Mo-Will, Lou-Will
SG: Wade, Roy, Kevin Martin
SF: Iguodala, Lewis
PF: Jamison, Love
C: Al Jefferson, B-Lopez, Bargnani, Noah

Pavel said...

ayo dynasty league
granger/morrow for love/m. gasol

who wins?

also i just traded ariza/b. wallace (since they are sell high?) for KG, was that ok?

lanciple said...

Blogger lanciple said...

Hey Thief,

Sorry for all the questions. Lemme know what you think of this trade I was offered.

My Sauce:
Pts: 13.31
Brds: 4.78
Asst: 2.38
Stls: .93
TO: .61
3's: .78
Blks: .60

I was offered:
D.Wde & Cassipi for B.Davis.,M.BEasley, & J.Nelson

My squad:
D.Wade
T.Evans
U.Haslem
TJ Ford
A.Biedrins
O.Casspi
Devin Brown
CJ Miles
Kevin Martin
C.Anderson

Their Squad:
Rondo
CDelfino
BDavis
DGallinari
MBeasley
PMilsap
EBrand
JNelson
TChandler
MMiller

I was thinking also Tyreke & Wade for Rondo and Davis.

Let me know your thoughts. Thanks again!

AK said...

Thief,
I'm tryin to land Amare.

Who should I deal? I'd rather do a 2-1 or 3-2 than a 1-1 or 2-2.

My players are:
Andre Miller
Terry
Nelson
Courtney Lee
Murphy
Mike Miller
Haywood
Dampier
Paul
Hedo
Beasley
Durant
Josh Smith

His:
Westbrook
Felton
Deron Williams
Anthony Parker
Noah
Gooden
Stoudemire
Anthony Randolph
Artest
Aldridge
Perkins
Duhon
Pierce

Thanks.

Thief said...

Vlado, only if it's you getting CP3.

Jawn, it's just a matter of time. Be patient.

J, I understand. You gotta go bibby or barbosa tho for the treys.

Dw, offer love n Lou, then grab jameer, u won't lose many treys. You could do bargs over love too.

Pavel, nice kg trade!! I think I prefer the granger side cause it's dynasty.

Lanc, no dice, walk away. You cando better.

Ak, try Haywood n hedo.

jb rdl said...

thief, is tmac a buy low?

jcohen said...

I subscribed to your blog but dont receive your emails to use the "secret Sauce" calculator. Can you please help me?

Kristjan said...

Jeeah, just got lucky with Jennings and Nate Robinson for KG!!!!!!! Hope everything goes as you thought!! :D